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Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline, dragged down by the decline of all ship sectors. The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline on Wednesday, hitting a 15-month low, dragged down by the decline of all ship types. The Baltic dry bulk freight index fell 50 points to 1106 points, the lowest level since September 2023. The freight index of capes dropped by 126 points to 1,377 points, also hitting the lowest level since September 2023. The average daily profit of Cape ships decreased by 1043 dollars to 11421 dollars. Panama shipping freight index fell 24 points to 1053 points. The average daily profit of Panamax decreased by 213 dollars to 9,478 dollars. The freight index of super-handy ships fell by 5 points to 962 points, the lowest level since August 2023.The lowest temperature in the suburbs of Shanghai will fall below freezing point from Sunday. Today, the sky is cloudy and the rain is intermittent during the day. The temperature difference throughout the day is small, and the temperature in most areas is between 6~9℃. The highest temperature in Xujiahui Station in Shanghai during the day is only 7.9℃. The humidity is high, coupled with the northerly winds, and the wet and cold body feels doubled. Tomorrow is still a cold day. There are many cloud systems in Shanghai, mainly cloudy to cloudy, with weak precipitation and some short-term light rain in some areas. The wind is less than today, with northerly winds of 3-4 and coastal areas along the Yangtze River of 4-5. The temperature is between 6~11℃ and the relative humidity is 90%-60%. Affected by strong cold air, there was a strong wind and cooling process in Shanghai from 13th to 14th. At noon on the 13th (Friday), cold air began to affect Shanghai, and the temperature dropped. It is estimated that the minimum temperature will drop by 3 ~ 5 degrees in urban areas and 6 ~ 8 degrees in suburbs during the 48-hour period from 13th to 15th. The lowest temperature in most suburbs will be below freezing point from 15th to 18th. The lowest temperature of the process appeared on the morning of 15th and 16th, and the urban area dropped to about 3℃, while the suburbs of Chongming, Jinshan, Fengxian and Qingpu were-3℃ to-4℃, with thin ice or freezing. (Weather in Shanghai)

The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.Shanghai has made every effort to build an ultra-high-definition audio-visual industrial cluster with global influence. The "Audio-visual Quiet Zone" Shanghai ultra-high-definition audio-visual industrial cluster was unveiled on the 11th. On the same day, Shanghai Economic and Information Technology Commission, Shanghai Culture and Tourism Bureau and Jing 'an District People's Government signed a strategic cooperation agreement. The media, universities and the government will jointly help Shanghai to build an ultra-high-definition audio-visual industry cluster and build an international innovation center for ultra-high-definition technology in the future. (Zhongxin. com)The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline, dragged down by the decline of all ship sectors. The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline on Wednesday, hitting a 15-month low, dragged down by the decline of all ship types. The Baltic dry bulk freight index fell 50 points to 1106 points, the lowest level since September 2023. The freight index of capes dropped by 126 points to 1,377 points, also hitting the lowest level since September 2023. The average daily profit of Cape ships decreased by 1043 dollars to 11421 dollars. Panama shipping freight index fell 24 points to 1053 points. The average daily profit of Panamax decreased by 213 dollars to 9,478 dollars. The freight index of super-handy ships fell by 5 points to 962 points, the lowest level since August 2023.

OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British Daily Telegraph on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. (World Wide Web)Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.